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Vodacom is keeping more profit to chase Egypt and M-Pesa

The mobile group is handing shareholders a smaller share of its profit so it can pour cash into its fastest-growing markets, and it has just raised its 2030 revenue goal to more than R300 billion.

Vodacom is keeping more profit to chase Egypt and M-Pesa

Cutting the share of profit it hands back to shareholders is the kind of move that usually gets a company punished. Vodacom did it anyway. The mobile group trimmed its dividend policy to a payout of at least 65% of headline earnings, the cleaned-up profit figure listed companies report, down from at least 75%. That more generous policy dated back to its Vodafone Egypt purchase in 2023. Keeping more cash back is not a sign of trouble but of ambition: management wants to reinvest at higher rates of growth and pay down debt faster. Even at the lower level, it still expects to grow the dividend per share next year.

The trigger was a landmark deal. Vodacom lifted its stake in Kenya's Safaricom, East Africa's largest mobile operator, from 35% to 55% in a R36 billion transaction, effective 30 June, after winning a major court case there. That hands it control of M-Pesa, the continent's best-known mobile-money service, and adds Ethiopia to its map. "This quarter marked a defining moment for Vodacom," CEO Shameel Joosub said.

Home is quiet, Egypt is not

For the quarter to end-June, group revenue rose 5.9% to R42.4 billion, held back by a stronger rand. The headline hides a split. South Africa, the home market, grew service revenue just 2.0%. Egypt grew its service revenue 32.8% in local currency, more than fifteen times faster, on the back of spectrum and network spending, and closed the quarter with 56.5 million customers. That gap is why Vodacom raised its 2030 revenue goal to more than R300 billion, from more than R200 billion, and nudged its medium-term profit and cash-flow growth targets up to early-teens rates.

The money-moving machine

The other engine is finance. Group financial services revenue climbed 17.8% to R4.5 billion. Over the past twelve months, US$547.9 billion moved through Vodacom's mobile-money platforms, including Safaricom. Folding Safaricom in lifts financial services from 13% to more than 22% of group service revenue.

The trade is plain enough: give shareholders a little less today to buy faster growth tomorrow. Whether Egypt and M-Pesa keep delivering will decide if it pays off.

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