Economy

Reserve Bank holds at 7.25%.

Reserve Bank holds at 7.25%.
The market exhaled. The rand barely noticed.

The Monetary Policy Committee voted 3–2 to keep the repo rate at 7.25% — the third consecutive hold and a result the curve had fully priced in by Tuesday.

Governor Kganyago's statement leaned hawkish in language and neutral in substance. Inflation is "stickier than we would like," services prices "remain a concern," and the committee "stands ready" — the boilerplate of a central bank that does not intend to cut soon.

By the numbers

  • Repo rate: 7.25% (unchanged)
  • Prime: 10.75%
  • Headline CPI: 4.8% (April)
  • Core CPI: 4.4%
  • Vote split: 3 hold, 2 cut

What it means

For business: bond yields drifted three basis points lower on the day, but anyone betting on a near-term cut is now looking at September at the earliest. For households: prime stays where it is, which means the mortgage you already have does not get cheaper this quarter.

The rand traded in a ten-cent band against the dollar and closed where it started. The JSE All Share added 0.4%, led by banks.

The next MPC meeting is 23 July. Watch the May CPI print on the 22nd.

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